Valuing Berkshire Hathaway - 3Q 2007

Posted by adesigar on January 29th, 2008

So i am back with my favourite company. On August 23rd 2006 I calculated that the value of Berkshire Hathaway shares should be at least $120,000. Fast forward to August 23, 2007 and BRK-A closed at $118,800. Not too bad

Market Cap of Berkshire Hathaway = 212 Billion
Value of Individual Berkshire Parts = 246 Billion (Based on the Interim 3nd quarter report. Numbers used are 9 Months Net Profits *(4/3) for full year estimate values)

  • Cash and Cash Equivalents - 38.6 Billion
  • Equity Holdings - 77.8 Billion
  • Subsidiary Insurance companies - 5.668B * 12PE = 68.016B
  • Subsidiary Utilities and Energy - 1.171 * 14PE = 16.394B
  • Subsidiary Manufacturing , Services and Retailing - 2.317B * 16PE = 37.072B
  • Subsidiary Finance and Financial Products = 0.665B * 12PE = 7.980B
  • Investment and Derivatives gains = 2.982 (Excluded)**
  • Recently Buffett has been making a few deals after nearly 1 year of inactivity. The 2 Billion of TXU bonds earning 11.2% and 11.8%. Buying 60% of Marmon for 4.5 Billion. Starting a Muni Bond Insurer. Purcasing ING’s Reinsurance business. All this point to Buffet finding ways to invest Berkshire’s cash hoard. The credit turmoil will create good buying opportunities for Berkshire. Finally at the next Annual meeting Buffet should have a couple of Investment managers lined up to take care of Investments going forward. All of this will add significant value to the shares in 2008.

    The A shares of Berkshire Hathaway should sell for $163,000+ and the B Shares for $5400+.
    ** Investment gains or losses are recognized upon the sales of investments or as otherwise required under GAAP. The timing of realized gains or losses from sales can have a material effect on periodic earnings. However, such gains or losses usually have little, if any, impact on total shareholders’ equity because most equity and fixed maturity investments are carried at fair value, with the unrealized gain or loss included as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income. - From the Report

    Disclosure: I own Shares of Berkshire Hathaway

    Note: I originally wrote this article late last year after the 3Q Earnings were released but i never published it. It’s a little late since Berkshire will be releasing FY07 earnings soon and Annual Report is due in a month.

    Re-launch of Investing Ideas

    Posted by adesigar on January 24th, 2008

    So i decided to relaunch my blog as a new site. The blog used to be located at investingideas.wordpress.com. It took some time, but its finally up and running. I have moved over all my posts and comments from the old site. The blog design and organization is still in progress so you will notice changes to to it over the next few days/weeks.

    Last year with the big run up in stocks, I could not find many new investment opportunities. With the recent market turmoil there are quite a few companies selling at great values again.


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